Harris, Trump deadlocked in every battleground state, polls show

Kamala Harris is between 1 and 3 points ahead of Donald Trump in five of the states, easily within the margin of error.

Oct 3, 2024 - 01:00

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remain neck and neck in all seven battleground states, according to new polls released Wednesday.

The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter’s Swing State Project surveys, conducted by a bipartisan team of pollsters, shows Harris between 1 and 3 points ahead in five of the states, easily within the margin of error. In a sixth state, North Carolina, Harris and Trump were exactly tied.

Harris leads Trump in Michigan by 3 percentage points, and she also leads by 1 or 2 points in Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Trump is leading by 2 percentage points head-to-head in Georgia.

In each of the states, the result is statistically unchanged since the last iteration of the survey in mid-August.

In the May survey, when President Joe Biden was still in the race, Trump led in six states and tied in Wisconsin.

While Harris is virtually tied with Trump, Democrats running in other key statewide races have more significant leads across the map.

In Senate races, Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leads his GOP opponent Kari Lake in Arizona, 54 percent to 41 percent; in Michigan, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin leads former Rep. Mike Rogers, 50 percent to 46 percent; Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen leads Republican Sam Brown in Nevada, 53 percent to 40 percent; Democratic Sen. Bob Casey leads Republican Dave McCormick, 52 percent to 45 percent, in Pennsylvania; and Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin holds a 2-point lead over GOP nominee Eric Hovde in Wisconsin.

And in the North Carolina gubernatorial race, Josh Stein leads Mark Robinson, whose vulgar comments on a porn website were reported last month, 59 percent to 35 percent.

The survey, which was done in collaboration with the Democratic firm BSG and the Republican firm GS Strategy Group, took place Sept. 19-25 and surveyed about 400 likely voters in each of the seven swing states. The margin of error in each state ranged from plus or minus 4.5 percentage points to 4.9 percentage points.

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